Wonderful introduction:
Let your sorrows be full of worries, and you can't sleep, and you can't sleep. The full moon hangs high, scattered all over the ground. I think that the bright moon will be ruthless, and the wind and frost will fade away for thousands of years, and the passion will fade away easily. If there is love, it should have grown old with the wind. Knowing that the moon is ruthless, why do you repeatedly express your love to the bright moon?
Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Market Analysis]: Trump calls the riots in Los Angeles a "foreign invasion" The EU proposes to lower the upper limit of Russian oil prices." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
On June 11, during the trading session of the Asian market on Wednesday, the U.S. dollar index hovered above 99, and the U.S. dollar rose on Tuesday, helped by U.S. officials said trade negotiations were going well, although there was no clear consensus on reaching an agreement the day after the negotiations continued. On the other hand, the pound fell against the dollar as UK employment data showed weak labor markets.
Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at BannockburnForex, New York, said the two sides had the possibility of reaching an agreement.
Thierry Wizman, a global forex and interest rate strategist at Macquarie in New York, wrote that if the talks do reach a substantial agreement, traders would think it is very good news and could reduce risks, but we expect the dollar to rebound, which is consistent with the recent model of the dollar as a risky currency. However, we also expect this rebound to be short-lived. "
The Bank of Japan is also expected to keep borrowing costs at current levels at its policy meeting next week. Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda hinted on Tuesday that the next rate hike may be delayed.
The risks posed by Trump's tariffs to Japan's export-oriented economy have put the market back on betting on the next rate hike. Investors are currently paying attention to any clues released by Kazuo Ueda to understand when rate hikes may resume.
Japan's slowdown in corporate centrdom.infomodity price index in May exceeded expectations, falling from 4.1% to 3.2% year-on-year, centrdom.infopared with a year-on-year of 3.5%. This decline reflects a broader deflation trend in upstream prices, thanks to recentThe rebound of the yen. The import price index, denominated in the yen, plummeted -10.3% year-on-year, a decrease of more than the -7.3% year-on-year in April.
Raw material costs in various industries have dropped significantly, with steel prices falling -4.8% year-on-year, chemical prices falling 3.1% year-on-year, and non-ferrous metals prices falling 2.1% year-on-year. However, consumption-related categories show more lasting inflation. Food and beverage prices accelerated from 4.0% year-on-year in April to 4.2%, indicating that inflation stickiness of essentials remains a challenge despite a widespread cooling on producers.
Francois Villeroy de Galhau, a member of the ECB's governance centrdom.infomittee, said at a meeting today that the ECB is now in favorable "2 and 2 regions". This means that inflation is expected to be 2% this year, and deposit interest rates are also 2%.
Nevertheless, he warned that given the current uncertainty, this area “does not mean a centrdom.infofort zone or a static zone.” “We will remain pragmatic and data-driven and stay agile when necessary,” Villeroy added.
In addition, Olli Rehn, policymaker of the Finnish European Central Bank, warned that the central bank must be careful to "not slide to the zero lower limit" as inflation is expected to remain below 2% this year.
"We can't be too confident—on the contrary, we have to be vigilant and monitor for two-way risks," Rehn said. "The ECB team must be vigilant and ready to act flexibly when needed."
Eurozone investor sentiment turned significantly more optimistic in June, with the Sentix investor confidence index climbing from -8.1 to +0.2, the first positive reading since June 2024, well above expectations of -6. The status index also improved significantly from -19.3 to -13.0, while the expected index jumped from 3.8 to 14.3.
Germany led the gains, with its overall Sentix index rising to -5.9, the highest level since March 2022. Expectations climbed 12 points to 17.5, while the current situation rose to -26.8 for the fourth straight month.
According to Sentix, concerns about the recession triggered by the US tariff shock in April have basically dissipated, and the economic outlook for the eurozone is now inclined to rise cyclically.
As the economic momentum grows and the Sentix inflation barometer shows signs of easing price pressure, the ECB may view its policies as being in a "comfort zone." While another rate cut is not impossible, any such move could be delayed if the summer uptrend continues to consolidate.
Tariffs—Source: India and the United States are expected to reach a temporary trade agreement by the end of the month, and the United States and Mexico are close to reaching an agreement on steel import tariffs.
Trump: The riots in Los Angeles are "outside"The US judge rejected California's request to immediately prevent the Trump administration from sending troops to the state.
The White House refuted the rumors that Treasury Secretary Bescent is the candidate for the next Federal Reserve Chairman.
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