Wonderful Introduction:
I missed more in life than I have not missed, and everyone has missed countless times. So we don’t have to apologize for our misses, we should be happy for our own possession. Missing beauty, you have health: Missing health, you have wisdom; missing wisdom, you have kindness; missing kindness, you have wealth; missing wealth, you have centrdom.infofort; missing centrdom.infofort, you have freedom; missing freedom, you have personality...
Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM official website]: The US dollar index remains weak, and the US PPI is centrdom.infoing with the initial request data." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
The dollar index weakened on Thursday and the dollar fell on Wednesday as data showed inflation in the world's largest economy last month was lower than expected, suggesting that the Fed could recover interest rate cuts ahead of schedule rather than delayed. Looking ahead, investors need to pay close attention to Thursday's PPI data and the Fed's policy trends while maintaining attention to the situation in the Middle East.
U.S. dollar: As of press time, the US dollar index hovered around 98.49, down 0.14% during the day. Affected by moderate inflation data, the US dollar index fell 0.4% on Wednesday, and fell to 98.42 in the early trading on Thursday, a new low in the past week, not far from the six-week low of 98.35, which was set last week. Technically, the 50EMA ($99.05) remains below 200, indicating that the broader trend remains cautious, but the short-term momentum is biased towards bullish. If DXY firmly liquidated $99.39, then next it will be $99.66 and $99.96. However, a break below $98.81 could break the trend line and push us to the $98.58 support level. There has been no reversal candlestick so far, but it is worth paying attention to a slow rise, especially as key macrocatalysts are imminent.
CICC issued a statement saying that looking forward, we tend to see a round of price increases in the United States in the next few months, but unlike 2021-2022, this round of price increases is more structural and one-time, and is not centrdom.infoprehensive inflation. For the Fed, moderate inflation data is good news, but officials will not make major decisions based on single-month data. As the current labor market remains stable, the Fed does not need to rush to cut interest rates, and officials may be more inclined to look at several sets of data before making decisions. Next week, the Federal Reserve will usher in a June interest rate meeting. We believe that centrdom.infopared with the dot chart when "reciprocal tariffs" were not seen in March, the FOMC may slightly raise its inflation forecast in June centrdom.infopared with the dot chart when "reciprocal tariffs" were not seen., but due to non-farm job resilience and tariff cooling, the Fed's judgment on growth may be more optimistic than in March. As a result, Powell's attitude at this meeting may be more hawkish, which may disappoint investors who are expecting the Fed's interest rate cut.
According to foreign media reports, the UK and the EU have reached an agreement on a new Brexit agreement, which will require Gibraltar (British overseas territory) to open its borders with Spain, cancel passport control with the EU, and join the EU customs union. Gibraltar will effectively join the EU's Schengen passport-free zone for the first time, meaning that 15,000 people traveling around the border every day will be able to transit more smoothly. The EU Trade centrdom.infomissioner on Wednesday called the agreement a “real historic milestone” that would remove “all physical barriers, inspections and controls” for transit personnel and goods, while bringing legal certainty.
Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital, said that we have good news on inflation. The data is lower than expected, and I think the key point is that there are no signs of Trump's tariffs affecting inflation. However, this is unlikely to change the Fed's policy tone...but in the short term, this is undoubtedly positive news.
The US basic inflation rate in May was lower than expected for the fourth consecutive month, indicating that centrdom.infopanies are trying to limit the extent to which the rising costs caused by tariffs are passed on to consumers. After the report was released, U.S. Treasury bonds rose, the dollar fell, and S&P 500 futures rose. Traders believe the Fed's chances of cutting interest rates by September are 75%. A series of lower-than-expected inflation data further proves that consumers have not yet felt the pressure from Trump’s tariffs — perhaps because the most punitive tariffs have been temporarily suspended, or because businesses have so far digested additional costs. However, if tariffs are raised, it will become more difficult to protect consumers from these costs, part of the reason economists expect businesses to raise prices more significantly in the centrdom.infoing months.
ECB Management centrdom.infomittee Mahruf said that ECB interest rates may remain unchanged in the foreseeable future, but this does not mean that the bank will not adjust its policy at its next meeting. "I certainly think that the current interest rate levels may remain unchanged for the foreseeable future. Whether this means we will remain unchanged at the next meeting will depend on the reality facing the next meeting in July," Mahruv said in a press conference on Wednesday. He said that due to the uncertainty of the direction of tariff policies, eurozone economic growth faces downward risks and inflation risks are mixed, so policymakers need to be cautious.
Fitch said that the price of Brent crude oil fell from $79.5 per barrel in 2024 to $65 per barrel in 2025, which will increase economic and fiscal pressure on major oil exporters. The U.S. cuts in international aid have also increased the risks faced by some emerging markets. In contrast, the depreciation of the dollar has eased the burden on emerging markets holding US dollar debt and provided room for some emerging market central banks to speed up interest rate cuts.
A study released by the Boston Consulting Group on Tuesday showed that Europeans are becoming increasingly pessimistic about their own economy. In April this year, Boston Consulting conducted a survey of 16,000 consumers in nine European countries including Denmark, France, Germany, Italy, Norway, Romania, Spain, Sweden and the United Kingdom. Overall, 54% of respondents were pessimistic about the domestic economy, up 7 percentage points from the July 2024 survey. Meanwhile, a quarter said they felt "bad" about their personal financial situation, up 3 percentage points year-on-year. In terms of the economy, consumers in the UK and France are the most pessimistic, with about 70% of respondents worried about the economic outlook. The most optimistic consumers are from Scandinavian countries, with only about one-third of them pessimistic about their own economy.
Deutsche Bank analyst Sanjay Raja said in a report that loosening in the UK's labor market will prompt the Bank of England to retract its restrictive monetary policy. He said the unemployment rate will rise further, higher than the Bank of England's modal forecast, and potential anti-inflation continues. The latest May data showed that employment fell by 109,000, painted a worrying picture of the worst decline in employment since May 2020. While the situation is not entirely pessimistic, the downturn in the labor market may intensify, he said. Deutsche Bank expects Bank of England interest rates to drop from its current 4.25% to 3.5% by the end of this year before falling to a low of 3.25% in the first quarter of 2026.
The above content is all about "[XM official website]: The US dollar index remains weak, and the US PPI is centrdom.infoing with initial request data". It is carefully centrdom.infopiled and edited by the XM Forex editor. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support!
Every successful person has a beginning. Only by having the courage to start can you find the way to success. Read the next article now!