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U.S. CPI in September was lower than expected across the board, and gold, silver, and oil opened with a huge shock on Monday!

Post time: 2025-10-27 views

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Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Market centrdom.infomentary]: US CPI in September was lower than expected across the board, gold, silver and oil opened with a huge shock on Monday!". Hope this helps you! The original content is as follows:

On October 27, in early Asian trading on Monday, Beijing time, the U.S. dollar index was hovering around 98.89. Last Friday, lower-than-expected CPI data boosted market interest rate cut expectations. The U.S. dollar index fell short-term, then recovered slightly, and finally closed up 0.02% at 98.94, ending three consecutive losses. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 4.0230%, and the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield, which is sensitive to the Fed's policy rate, closed at 3.4860%. Spot gold fluctuated downward throughout the day, and the decline narrowed after the release of inflation data in the United States. It finally closed down 0.34% at $4,112.1 per ounce, recording its first weekly decline in ten weeks; spot silver finally closed down 0.47% at $48.61 per ounce. U.S. sanctions prompted oil giants to suspend purchases of Russian oil in the short term. WTI crude oil finally closed down 0.5% at US$61.43/barrel; Brent crude oil finally closed down 0.41% at US$65.68/barrel.

Analysis of major currency trends

U.S. dollar index: As of press time, the U.S. dollar is hovering around 98.81. Traders adjusted positions for Monday's delayed Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, while geopolitical risks from escalating trade tensions rose again. The U.S. dollar has seen the most significant gains against the Japanese yen, which has continued to weaken recently due to Japan's domestic political dynamics and fading policy optimism. Technically, if the USD Index manages to close above the 99.00 level, it will move towards the next resistance level at 100.00–100.15.

U.S. CPI in September was lower than expected across the board, and gold, silver, and oil opened with a huge shock on Monday!(图1)

EUR: EUR/USD is hovering around 1.1634 at press time. The dollar has pared some of its gains recently as the Trump administration launches a trade investigation into whether China centrdom.infoplied with regulations during President Trump’s first term. Limited trade agreement reached in 2020, Bloomberg revealed. Technically, if EUR/USD climbs above the 50 moving average of 1.1633, it will move towards the resistance level of 1.1685–1.1700.

U.S. CPI in September was lower than expected across the board, and gold, silver, and oil opened with a huge shock on Monday!(图2)

GBP: As of press time, GBP/USD is hovering around 1.3323. Sterling attracted bids against major currencies on Friday on the back of upbeat S&P Global Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data for October and unexpectedly strong retail sales data for September. Technically, a break below the support levels of 1.3330–1.3350 would open the way to a test of the next support level, located in the 1.3235–1.3250 range.

U.S. CPI in September was lower than expected across the board, and gold, silver, and oil opened with a huge shock on Monday!(图3)

Analysis of gold and crude oil market trends

1) Analysis of gold market trends

In Asian trading on Monday, gold hovered around 4077.53. Gold extended losses as traders took profits after a prolonged record rally. U.S. President Donald Trump's meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping in South Korea on Thursday will be closely watched.

U.S. CPI in September was lower than expected across the board, and gold, silver, and oil opened with a huge shock on Monday!(图4)

Technical: A decisive break below $4,040 could expose the psychological level of $4,000, close to Wednesday’s low of $4,004. Below this, further declines could extend to the October 9-10 lows around $3,945. The relative strength index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart is holding steady between 30 and 50, indicating continued short-term bearish potential. Conversely, a break above $4,150 would strengthen the prospects for a more pronounced rebound, with an initial target of the former support area near $4,220, if the bullish momentum continues exists and will retest the recent all-time high around $4,380.

2) Crude oil market trend analysis

On Monday’s Asian session, crude oil was trading around 61.56. The rally was driven by new U.S. sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil, Russia's two largest oil producers. These centrdom.infopanies account for more than 5% of global output. The UK and EU followed with coordinated measures, including a ban on Russian LNG and penalties on Chinese refiners for handling Russian cargoes.

U.S. CPI in September was lower than expected across the board, and gold, silver, and oil opened with a huge shock on Monday!(图5)

Technical: The near-term outlook is bullish, with confirmation dependent on a sustained break above $62.49 and the 52-week moving average of $62.31. Together, these levels define trend direction and pattern confirmation. A decisive move above the long-term retracement at $63.74 would trigger additional upside potential towards the next swing top at $65.95. Downside risks remain limited, while support lies at $59.44.

Foreign exchange market transaction reminder on October 27, 2025

① To be determined, domestic refined oil will open a new round of price adjustment window

② To be determined, the 2025 Financial Street Forum year It will be held

③ To be determined: US President Trump’s visit to Japan

④16:15 Reserve Bank of Australia Chairman Bullock participates in the fireside chat

⑤17:00 Germany’s October IFO business climate index

⑥19:00 UK October CBI retail sales gap Value

⑦20:30 Monthly rate of U.S. durable goods orders in September

⑧22:30 U.S. Dallas Fed Business Activity Index in October

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